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Neutral dynamics of the debt market

Neutral dynamics of the debt market | 07 October 2021

07 October 2021, EUR/USD

EURUSD trading plan:

U.S. Treasury long-dated yields fell from more than three-month peaks. The fall in long-end rates flattened the yield curve, with the spread between two-year and 10-year yields narrowing to 121.6 basis points after rising to 127 basis points. Since the private sector jobs data (ADP), Fed fund futures, which track short-term rate expectations have priced in a 90% chance of a quarter-point hike by the Fed in November 2022. The outlook for longer-dated Treasury yields remained tilted to the upside amid optimism about U.S. growth and higher inflation expectations amid soaring energy prices. This is a neutral signal for this currency pair.

Investment idea: range 1.1535 -1.1630.

David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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