Movement in the Forex market is determined by fundamental factors. These are the key macroeconomic indicators of the state of the national economy that affect the participants in the Forex currency market and the level of exchange rates. It is these factors that are studied by fundamental analysis.
Information about discount rates of central banks, the economic course of the government, possible changes in the political life of the country, as well as all sorts of rumors and expectations are they.
One of the most important components of the success of a currency trader is the ability to analyze market changes and predict which factors and how will affect the exchange rate. Fundamental analysis establishes the relationship of exchange rates with the economic situation and the competitive position of trading countries, explains the goals and instruments of the financial policy of central banks, shows the relationship between various financial markets, the reasons for their ups and downs.
Conducting fundamental analysis is much more difficult than any other, since the same factors have an unequal impact on the market under different conditions.
The main group of participants in the FOREX international currency market is commercial banks. It is they who conduct the bulk of foreign exchange transactions at their own expense and on behalf of clients. Other participants in the foreign exchange market keep their accounts in commercial banks and send them applications for the purchase and sale of currency for their own needs, as well as loans or vice versa, keep their deposits in banks. (deposit and credit operations).Banks, being specialized organizations, accumulate market needs (supply and demand) through transactions with customers and, if they are not able to satisfy these needs themselves, they satisfy them through other banks. Therefore, FOREX, in fact, is not an exchange. In a strict sense, this is a market for interbank transactions. Commercial banks also carry out speculative operations at their own expense.
| 12 - 16 December |
weekly
forecast 12 - 16
December | ||
| 2022 | EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY |
| 16 December | EURUSD trading plan: U.S. retail sales fell more than expected in November, but consumer spending remains supported by a tight labor market, with the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits decreasing by the most in five months last week. The biggest decrease in retail sales in 11 mont | GBPUSD trading plan: British retail sales slid unexpectedly in November, despite the soccer World Cup and the Black Friday sales promotions, a potential indication of the stress felt by many households as the cost-of-living crisis eats into their finances. Retail sales volumes dropped by 0.4% in No | USDJPY trading plan: Japan's manufacturing activity shrank at the fastest pace in more than two years in December on soft demand and persistent cost pressures, a corporate fresh survey showed. While service-sector output rebounded on a tourism reopening, weak factory activity has blurred Japan's re |
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