Movement in the Forex market is determined by fundamental factors. These are the key macroeconomic indicators of the state of the national economy that affect the participants in the Forex currency market and the level of exchange rates. It is these factors that are studied by fundamental analysis.
Information about discount rates of central banks, the economic course of the government, possible changes in the political life of the country, as well as all sorts of rumors and expectations are they.
One of the most important components of the success of a currency trader is the ability to analyze market changes and predict which factors and how will affect the exchange rate. Fundamental analysis establishes the relationship of exchange rates with the economic situation and the competitive position of trading countries, explains the goals and instruments of the financial policy of central banks, shows the relationship between various financial markets, the reasons for their ups and downs.
Conducting fundamental analysis is much more difficult than any other, since the same factors have an unequal impact on the market under different conditions.
The main group of participants in the FOREX international currency market is commercial banks. It is they who conduct the bulk of foreign exchange transactions at their own expense and on behalf of clients. Other participants in the foreign exchange market keep their accounts in commercial banks and send them applications for the purchase and sale of currency for their own needs, as well as loans or vice versa, keep their deposits in banks. (deposit and credit operations).Banks, being specialized organizations, accumulate market needs (supply and demand) through transactions with customers and, if they are not able to satisfy these needs themselves, they satisfy them through other banks. Therefore, FOREX, in fact, is not an exchange. In a strict sense, this is a market for interbank transactions. Commercial banks also carry out speculative operations at their own expense.
13 - 17 June |
weekly
forecast 13 - 17
June | ||
2022 | EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY |
17 June | EURUSD trading plan: The head of the European Central Bank briefed euro zone finance ministers on a planned tool to fight high spreads between bond yields of the bloc's nations, but remained vague about how and when the new scheme may kick. Christine Lagarde explained to ministers in a closed-door | GBPUSD trading plan: Federal Reserve policymakers are less confident than at any time since the height of the pandemic about what will happen with the economy, data published alongside their forecasts and the Fed's hefty three-quarters-of-a-point rate hike this week show. It is clear that path of i | USDJPY trading plan: Japan ran its biggest single-month trade deficit in more than eight years in May as high commodity prices and declines in the yen swelled imports, clouding the country's economic outlook. The growing trade deficit underscores the headwinds the world's third-largest economy face |
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