Movement in the Forex market is determined by fundamental factors. These are the key macroeconomic indicators of the state of the national economy that affect the participants in the Forex currency market and the level of exchange rates. It is these factors that are studied by fundamental analysis.
Information about discount rates of central banks, the economic course of the government, possible changes in the political life of the country, as well as all sorts of rumors and expectations are they.
One of the most important components of the success of a currency trader is the ability to analyze market changes and predict which factors and how will affect the exchange rate. Fundamental analysis establishes the relationship of exchange rates with the economic situation and the competitive position of trading countries, explains the goals and instruments of the financial policy of central banks, shows the relationship between various financial markets, the reasons for their ups and downs.
Conducting fundamental analysis is much more difficult than any other, since the same factors have an unequal impact on the market under different conditions.
The main group of participants in the FOREX international currency market is commercial banks. It is they who conduct the bulk of foreign exchange transactions at their own expense and on behalf of clients. Other participants in the foreign exchange market keep their accounts in commercial banks and send them applications for the purchase and sale of currency for their own needs, as well as loans or vice versa, keep their deposits in banks. (deposit and credit operations).Banks, being specialized organizations, accumulate market needs (supply and demand) through transactions with customers and, if they are not able to satisfy these needs themselves, they satisfy them through other banks. Therefore, FOREX, in fact, is not an exchange. In a strict sense, this is a market for interbank transactions. Commercial banks also carry out speculative operations at their own expense.
| 23 - 27 January |
weekly
forecast 23 - 27
January | ||
| 2023 | EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY |
| 27 January | EURUSD trading plan: Sales of new U.S. single-family homes increased for a third straight month in December as mortgage rates continued to decline, offering hope that the struggling housing market was starting to stabilize. New home sales increased 2.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 616,0 | GBPUSD trading plan: British retail sales volumes slid over the last month at the fastest rate since April last year, underlining the weak state of the consumer economy in the face of strong inflation, a survey showed. The Confederation of British Industry's sales balance, which included a couple o | USDJPY trading plan: The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter, but that likely exaggerates the nation's health as a measure of domestic demand rose at its slowest pace in 2-1/2 years, reflecting the impact of higher borrowing costs. While consumer spending maintained a solid |
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