Movement in the Forex market is determined by fundamental factors. These are the key macroeconomic indicators of the state of the national economy that affect the participants in the Forex currency market and the level of exchange rates. It is these factors that are studied by fundamental analysis.
Information about discount rates of central banks, the economic course of the government, possible changes in the political life of the country, as well as all sorts of rumors and expectations are they.
One of the most important components of the success of a currency trader is the ability to analyze market changes and predict which factors and how will affect the exchange rate. Fundamental analysis establishes the relationship of exchange rates with the economic situation and the competitive position of trading countries, explains the goals and instruments of the financial policy of central banks, shows the relationship between various financial markets, the reasons for their ups and downs.
Conducting fundamental analysis is much more difficult than any other, since the same factors have an unequal impact on the market under different conditions.
The main group of participants in the FOREX international currency market is commercial banks. It is they who conduct the bulk of foreign exchange transactions at their own expense and on behalf of clients. Other participants in the foreign exchange market keep their accounts in commercial banks and send them applications for the purchase and sale of currency for their own needs, as well as loans or vice versa, keep their deposits in banks. (deposit and credit operations).Banks, being specialized organizations, accumulate market needs (supply and demand) through transactions with customers and, if they are not able to satisfy these needs themselves, they satisfy them through other banks. Therefore, FOREX, in fact, is not an exchange. In a strict sense, this is a market for interbank transactions. Commercial banks also carry out speculative operations at their own expense.
| 30 January - 03 February |
weekly
forecast 30 January - 03
February | ||
| 2023 | EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY |
| 31 January | EURUSD trading plan: Euro zone economic sentiment rose to a seven-month high in January on more optimism across all sectors except construction, with inflation expectations among consumers and companies both sharply down, fresh data showed. The European Commission's Economic Sentiment Index rose to | GBPUSD trading plan: The U.S. Treasury Department this week is likely to announce that it will offer fewer Treasury bills in the second quarter, after hitting its statutory borrowing limit. Any new indications over whether the Treasury could employ Treasury buybacks, or make changes to its auction | USDJPY trading plan: Jerome Powell and Wall Street are headed for another face-off this week as the Federal Reserve seeks to slow its inflation-fighting campaign without signaling a readiness to stop. Despite 2022’s slew of interest-rate hikes from Chair Powell and colleagues, financial conditions |
| 30 January | |||
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