GBPUSD: SELL 1.3400, SL 1.3450, TP 1.3310 | 25 August 2025

Event to watch today:

22.08 17:00 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks

GBPUSD:

Sterling is under pressure as the dollar stays resilient on expectations of cautious Fed messaging at Jackson Hole. Stronger components in recent U.S. business surveys tempered hopes for aggressive easing, while U.S. Treasury yields held above recent lows—typically a headwind for lower-yielding currencies such as GBP. The market continues to prefer U.S. domestic assets until Powell’s stance becomes clearer.

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The U.K. backdrop offers limited offset: signs of softer domestic demand and a cooling labor market raise doubts about the economy’s ability to shoulder restrictive rates. Attention today also falls on government debt auctions and European business activity prints, which can indirectly affect risk sentiment and cable through broader capital flows.

With these forces intersecting, GBPUSD retains a bearish bias within today’s “stronger-dollar” narrative: yield differentials, guarded Fed expectations, and the pound’s sensitivity to global risk keep upside contained. Unless an upside surprise emerges from U.K. data or a distinctly dovish signal from the Fed, selling rallies with moderate targets remains a prudent tactical stance.

Trade recommendation: SELL 1.3400, SL 1.3450, TP 1.3310

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