EURUSD: SELL 1.1675, SL 1.1705, TP 1.1620 | 15 July 2025

15 July 2025, EUR/USD

EURUSD: SELL 1.1675, SL 1.1705, TP 1.1620

EURUSD:

The euro remains under pressure: on Monday the pair slipped to 1.1675 after the European Commission extended its pause on retaliatory tariffs against the United States until 1 August. With no resolution in sight, the trade dispute keeps European exporters on edge and turns the dollar into a safe-haven choice for investors looking to limit risk.

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Additional support for the greenback comes from rising real yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate is holding above 4.40 %, locking in a wide spread over German Bunds. That has led futures traders to price in just one 25 bp Federal Reserve rate cut for the rest of the year, reducing the euro’s relative appeal.

Macro data from the euro area offer little relief. German industrial production rose only 0.2 % m/m in May, while the July ZEW expectations index slid back into negative territory. With the ECB having already delivered a June cut and projecting lower inflation ahead, inward capital flows to the eurozone remain subdued.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1675, SL 1.1705, TP 1.1620

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The author's opinion reflects their personal view and is not an investment recommendation. The company is not responsible for any trading results based on the provided analytical data.
David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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