The Japanese yen is trying to attract buyers amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan's future rate hike. | 09 October 2024

Event to pay attention to today:

21:00 GMT+3. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes

USDJPY:

The Japanese yen (JPY) saw some intraday selling on Tuesday, which helped the USD/JPY pair pause its modest pullback from its highest level since August the previous day. The latest data released on Tuesday showed a decline in real wages in Japan in August, following two months of growth. Additionally, there was a reduction in household spending, which has led to concerns about the resilience of private consumption and the potential for a sustained economic recovery. This development coincides with critical remarks from Japan's new Prime Minister regarding monetary policy, contributing to uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) plans to raise rates further. In addition, the prospect of a ceasefire between Lebanon's Hezbollah and Israel has contributed to the decline in the perceived safety of the Japanese Yen in the lead-up to Japan's snap election on 27 October.

However, speculation that Japanese authorities will intervene in the currency market to support the national currency has prevented a more aggressive stance on the part of those betting on a decline in the yen. Furthermore, the weak demand for the US dollar (USD) prevented the USD/JPY pair from capitalising on the overnight rebound from the 147.35-147.30 area, resulting in a limited price range during Wednesday's Asian session. Furthermore, investors are adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the release of the minutes of the September FOMC meeting, scheduled for today. This data, along with the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), will play a pivotal role in influencing the US dollar price dynamics in the near term and will help determine the next stage of directional movement of the currency pair.

Trade recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.

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