High interest rates are positive for the dollar | 13 September 2023

13 September 2023, USD/JPY

High interest rates are positive for the dollar

USDJPY trading plan:

The Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at the end of its Sept. 19-20 policy meeting and probably wait until the April-June period of 2024 or later before cutting it. Fed Chair Jerome Powell underscored the "higher-for-longer" mantra for rates in a speech at the annual Jackson Hole central banking symposium in August and maintained another rate hike might still be needed to bring inflation down to the 2% target. But other members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee, including some of the more hawkish ones, have raised the possibility of holding off on another rate hike to allow more time to gauge the impact of the cumulative 525 basis points of tightening delivered by the Fed since March 2022. Keeping interest rates on hold will have a positive impact on the value of the US dollar.

Investment idea: buy 146.95 and take profit 147.80.

David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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