The excess dollar liquidity

08 April 2021, GBP/USD

The excess dollar liquidity

GBPUSD trading plan:

The deputy manager discussed the evolution of the U.S. Federal Reserve's balance sheet and related developments in money markets. Reserve balances rose more than $400 billion, on net, over the intermeeting period to $3.7 trillion, while Treasury bills outstanding decreased more than $200 billion. Against this backdrop, the effective federal funds rate softened modestly, while repurchase agreement rates declined to a greater extent. Moreover, market participants projected that reserves would grow at a historically rapid pace in coming months, reflecting continued expansion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet along with a projected drawdown in the balances maintained in the Treasury General Account. Market contacts suggested that continued rapid expansion of reserves could put further downward pressure on money market rates.

Investment idea: buy 1.3740 and take profit 1.3850.

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David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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