10 June 2024, EUR/USD
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD exchange rate remained under pressure for the second consecutive day, falling to a three-week low during the Asian session on Monday. Spot prices are currently trading around 1.0775, indicating continued vulnerability to breakout momentum following the NFP publication.
The closely watched monthly employment report from the US Department of Labor showed that the US economy added 272,000 jobs in May, compared to an expected 185,000 and an upwardly revised 175,000 in the previous month. In addition, average hourly earnings beat consensus estimates and rose 4.1% in the 12 months to May, eclipsing the rise in the unemployment rate to 4.0%.
Nonetheless, the data prompted investors to abandon expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September and kept US Treasury yields elevated. This, along with cautious sentiment in stock markets, supports the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) and becomes a key factor exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Conversely, the common currency is being undermined by exit poll results showing that Eurosceptic nationalists made the biggest gains in Sunday's European Parliament elections. Furthermore, French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to call a snap election later this month adds to political uncertainty in the eurozone's second-largest economy and favours euro bears.
This suggests that the most straightforward path for EUR/USD is downwards. However, traders may refrain from making aggressive directional bets ahead of Wednesday's important FOMC policy decision. Ahead of this key central bank risk event, traders will face the release of the latest US consumer inflation data, which will boost the dollar and give it meaningful momentum.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
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