Europe enters recession | 01 November 2023

01 November 2023, EUR/USD

Europe enters recession

EURUSD trading plan:

Inflation in the euro zone is falling fast and the economy has begun contracting, data showed, illustrating the dual impact of a steady diet of European Central Bank interest rate hikes. Prices rose by just 2.9% in October, their slowest pace since July 2021, a Eurostat flash reading showed, a time when the ECB was still worried about inflation getting stuck below its 2% target. But the brisk decline from double-digit figures just a year ago is coming at a cost: the euro zone economy shrank by 0.1% in the three months to September, according to a separate Eurostat release, and is flirting with a recession. The two sets of data mean the ECB has almost certainly finished raising interest rates, which are at record highs after an unprecedented streak of 10 consecutive hikes, and will now watch their impact play out before making further moves.

Investment idea: sell 1.0605 and take profit 1.0534.

David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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