The negative real interest rates in the United States | 10 February 2021

10 February 2021, EUR/USD

EURUSD trading plan:

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury notes was last at 1.16%, not far off Monday's 10 1/2-month high of 1.20%. Higher bond yields also reflect rising inflation expectations, with break-even inflation calculated from inflation-protected Treasuries rising to 2.20 percent, the highest since 2014. The Fed has said it would tolerate inflation rising beyond 2% temporarily. This is a negative signal for the dollar! An increase in negative real interest rates in the United States contributes to a decrease in the value of the U.S. currency.

Investment idea: Buy 1.2111 and take profit 1.2175.

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David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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