Fed tightening | 18 November 2021

18 November 2021, EUR/USD

EURUSD trading plan:

The good news for financial markets is that aggregate demand appears to be weathering the surge in inflation so far. The bad news is that the combination of robust demand and a large supply shock makes a strong case for Fed tightening. With inflation running high, the stronger-than-expected retail sales last month boosted expectations of a rate hike as early as mid-2022. Investors also think the data could encourage the Fed to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program. The dollar index - which measures the currency against six rivals - climbed to 96.26; it’s highest since last July. Its strength weighed on U.S. Treasuries, with benchmark 10-year note yields reaching 1.6%

Investment idea: sell 1.1335 and take profit 1.1288.

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David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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