USDJPY: BUY 146.30, SL 145.95, TP 147.00 | 11 July 2025

11 July 2025, USD/JPY

USDJPY: BUY 146.30, SL 145.95, TP 147.00

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims

USDJPY:

The USD/JPY pair is consolidating above 146.20 amid ongoing tension in US-Japan trade relations and the announcement of 25% tariffs on Japanese goods from August 1. The rise in the yield of 10-year US Treasuries above 4.45% and the widening spread between US and Japanese bonds support the dollar.

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In Japan, slowing nominal wage growth and declining real incomes complicate the Bank of Japan’s efforts to normalize monetary policy. This leads to the maintenance of an ultra-loose policy and stimulates capital outflows from the yen.

At the time of writing, the USD/JPY rate is 146.25. In the absence of a sharp demand for safe-haven assets, the pair may test the 147.00 level in the coming sessions.

Trade recommendation: BUY 146.30, SL 145.95, TP 147.00

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The author's opinion reflects their personal view and is not an investment recommendation. The company is not responsible for any trading results based on the provided analytical data.
David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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