11 July 2025, EUR/USD
Event to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD pair is strengthening amid ongoing uncertainty regarding US-China trade relations and ahead of new US inflation data. The US dollar shows mixed dynamics: on one hand, it is supported by expectations for Treasury yields, while on the other, it is pressured by the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance.
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In the eurozone, the key factor remains the policy of the European Central Bank, which recently lowered its key rate and revised inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downward. This signals an intention to support the region’s economy and conclude the current easing cycle.
At the time of writing, the EUR/USD rate is 1.1744, reflecting a moderate rise of the euro against the US dollar. Fundamentally, the pair is supported by expectations of further recovery in the eurozone economy and possible dollar weakening if the Fed maintains its current policy.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1745, SL 1.1720, TP 1.1845
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