The Fed will keep rates high | 22 November 2023

22 November 2023, USD/JPY

The Fed will keep rates high

USDJPY trading plan:

The Federal Reserve released minutes from that meeting overnight though traders judged that policymakers' promise to "proceed carefully" from here was not new information. Interest rate futures markets see almost no chance the Fed hikes again and price about 90 basis points of rate cuts through 2024, with a 25% chance they begin as soon as March. Since the Fed believes that a soft landing is in sight, it would be foolish to risk it by hiking further than necessary. If we were to see stronger economic and inflation data before the December meeting, longer-term rates are likely to rebound and substitute for a rate hike. This is a positive signal for the dollar.

Investment idea: buy 148.55 and take profit 149.51.

David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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