EURUSD: SELL 1.1685, SL 1.1700, TP 1.1650 | 14 Agustus 2025

EUR/USD:

The euro/dollar pair is holding near recent levels but remains under pressure from U.S. expectations: market participants are pricing in the risk of a more hawkish Federal Reserve tone if inflation and consumer activity do not show a sustained slowdown. Against this backdrop, capital inflows into dollar-denominated assets continue, and demand for protection via USD remains moderate.

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In the Eurozone, the picture is more restrained: corporate and consumer confidence has only partially recovered, fiscal space is limited, and the ECB maintains a cautious tone after its recent decisions. Growth forecasts for the year ahead remain low, which dampens appetite for the euro during periods of increased global uncertainty.

Yield differentials and central bank balance sheet policies are creating a fundamental bias in favor of the dollar in the short term. Without strong positive surprises from the Eurozone, the pair retains potential for a moderate decline toward 1.1650.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1685, SL 1.1700, TP 1.1650

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