EURUSD: BUY 1.1580, SL 1.1500, TP 1.1685 | 06 Agustus 2025

Event to pay attention to today:

05.08 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI

EURUSD:

EUR/USD continues to fall for the second day in a row, trading around 1.1560 during Tuesday's Asian session. The pair is devaluing amid the strengthening of the US dollar (USD) due to caution among traders caused by recent events in global trade and changes in expectations regarding monetary policy.

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Market sentiment is becoming cautious due to growing concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed). On Monday, Fed board member Adriana Kugler unexpectedly resigned. This event gave US President Donald Trump the opportunity to influence the central bank earlier than expected.

However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid growing chances of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September after weak labor market data reinforced concerns about the US economic outlook. Markets estimate the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month at 91.6%.

By comparison, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep rates unchanged, as annual inflation in the eurozone remained at 2.0% in July, slightly above the forecast of 1.9%. Meanwhile, traders are cautious amid the introduction of 15% US tariffs on goods imported from the European Union (EU).

Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1580, SL 1.1500, TP 1.1685

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