GBPUSD: SELL 1.3285, SL 1.3305, TP 1.3180 | 07 Agosto 2025

07 Agosto 2025, GBP/USD

GBPUSD: SELL 1.3285, SL 1.3305, TP 1.3180

Event to Watch Today:

06 Aug 11:30 EET – GBP – Construction PMI

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GBPUSD:

Sterling stays on the back foot ahead of tomorrow’s Bank of England decision: consensus expects the Bank Rate to be held at 5.25 percent, but markets price only one or two modest cuts by year-end as inflation has slowed to 2.6 percent while June retail sales fell 0.9 percent m/m.

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Additional pressure stems from fiscal concerns: the UK Treasury warned that GBP 4 billion of spending cuts will be needed in 2026 to keep the deficit at the 3 percent-of-GDP target, stoking stagflation fears and capping the pound’s upside.

The dollar is buoyed by inflows into US yield assets: the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47 percent, widening the spread over 10-year gilts to 155 basis points—historically associated with GBPUSD weakness.

Trading Recommendation: SELL 1.3285, SL 1.3305, TP 1.3180

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The author's opinion reflects their personal view and is not an investment recommendation. The company is not responsible for any trading results based on the provided analytical data.
David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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