24 Abril 2024, USD/JPY
Events to watch out for today:
15:30 GMT+3. USD - Change in durable goods orders
USDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to struggle to make a significant recovery and languished near multi-decade lows against its US counterpart during Wednesday's Asian session. Traders seem reluctant to make a decision and prefer to wait for an important Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision on Friday. In addition, this week investors will face the release of the advance first quarter GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index from the US on Thursday and Friday respectively. The combination of key central bank events and important US macroeconomic data will play a key role in determining the next leg of directional movement for the Dollar-Yen pair.
Meanwhile, expectations that the interest rate gap between the US and Japan will remain wide, along with the overall positive tone on risk, continue to undermine the safe-haven Yen. However, speculation that the Japanese authorities will intervene to support the local currency has kept JPY bears from betting aggressively. In addition, the US Dollar (USD) is near its lowest level in a week following Tuesday's disappointing US PMI data, and this is another factor contributing to the USD/JPY pair's decline. Nevertheless, hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed) should serve as a tailwind for the dollar and limit the currency pair's decline.
Trading recommendation: The previous recommendation is still valid. Trade in the channel 154.20-154.85 on bounces from the levels.
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