21 Marzo 2019, USD/JPY
USDJPY trading plan:
The main surprise is that the Fed projects zero hikes in 2019. It is warranted by the economic data. There are clear signs that past rate increases are slowing spending growth through traditional transmission channels - slower residential investment growth and lower net exports. FOMC also said it would slow the monthly reduction of its holdings of Treasury bonds from up to $30 billion to up to $15 billion beginning in May. Inflation for the year is now seen at 1.8 percent, compared to the Fed's forecast in December of 1.9 percent. This is a negative signal for the dollar!
Trading recommendation: Sell 110.75 and take profit 110.25.