Forex market Fresh Forecast for today

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 06 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index once again failed to capitalize on the moment and missed a great opportunity to start rising. Instead, the value sharply dropped, updating the minimum of wave 2.

Now this entire movement looks less like a converging and more like a diverging final diagonal triangle. The pattern itself is very rare, so there are some doubts that it is indeed this one.

Confirmation requires growth in the final wave 5, but buyers may be too exhausted by circumstances that have been extremely unfavorable for them.

In this situation, it is recommended to take a pause and observe how events develop over the near term, leaving the decision to enter trades for the upcoming trading week.

Investment idea: FLAT.

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Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 06 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The stubborn standoff between buyers and sellers is reaching its final stage. Another attempt to rise met with fierce selling, leading to a revision of the corrective structure from a double zigzag to a triple one.

If this is indeed the case, the downward saw will continue in the near future. This will be driven by the formation of the final third zigzag (z) within a complex correction.

In the near term, a weak rise is possible, but with the opening of the US session, the price will again sharply go down.

Trading these swings is not recommended. It is better to wait for the moment when growth begins in the next bullish cycle.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1235, SL 1.1200, TP 1.1350.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 06 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation remains within the updated wave scenario for now. The price is likely attempting to rise, having started this via an initial diagonal triangle.

It is difficult to say what this will ultimately result in, but currently, an upward impulse is being considered. In that case, it can be assumed that wave i formation has been completed at this moment, and corrective wave ii is either developing or has already finished.

There is a high probability that the price will begin to rise soon, doing so within the development of wave iii.

In light of this, it is worth trying to start buying at current market prices.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1235, SL 1.1200, TP 1.1350.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 28150, SL 27800, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

For the index, it is likely that the corrective wave 4 formation has finally been completed. This is indicated by a sharp decline followed by an equally sharp movement in the opposite direction.

If this is indeed the case, we will soon see the development of a bullish wave, which is the final one in the assumed ultimate diagonal triangle.

This creates a good opportunity to enter buy trades with the aim of capturing the anticipated move within the specified pattern.

Investment idea: BUY 28150, SL 27800, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 78750, SL 77000, TP 95000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin continues to remain under pressure but is not willing to give up easily. Every move by sellers meets fierce resistance.

This time we also saw a sharp update of the local minimum, after which the price immediately reversed. This liquidation is likely final, and excess baggage was shaken out of long positions.

It can be assumed that the correction has ended here. In that case, we may soon see a strong impulsive rally updating the current local maximum.

Buy orders in this context look like a very interesting trading decision.

Investment idea: BUY 78750, SL 77000, TP 95000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1260, SL 1.1235, TP 1.1340.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The scenario of a further decline in the euro exchange rate does not seem likely to materialize. This is due to a rather complex impulse pattern with an extension in wave iii.

Confusion arose from the somewhat unattractive ratio between corrective waves iv and ii. However, at this moment, the situation cannot be interpreted any other way.

Moreover, during the previous trading day, the price began to rise in the form of an initial diagonal triangle, which means there is a high probability of strong growth ahead.

Thus, the sell signal based on a new local low was not triggered; instead, the price chose to start rising. Therefore, it makes sense to consider buying opportunities.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1260, SL 1.1235, TP 1.1340.

Wave analysis - #NQ100:BUY 28150, SL 27950, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Pressure on the index remains, leading to further gradual decline. However, this movement so far fits well within corrective boundaries.

It is possible that wave 4 of the same supposed ending diagonal triangle is still forming in this manner.

It is also not excluded that the specified wave is about to complete, which means we can now consider entering long positions to capture the rise in the final wave 5.

The potential for movement is quite good, and the movement itself will take more than one day.

Investment idea: BUY 28150, SL 27950, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 78800, SL 76600, TP 95000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin attempted to recover its price, but the move was not very successful. The resulting movement was quickly liquidated.

However, the situation remains quite favorable for a general price increase. This is due to the possible completion of a correction in the form of a double zigzag. A rise is expected in this scenario as an upward impulse in the next phase of market development.

It is quite possible that we will see another attempt to start rising during today's session.

You can try cautiously buying on a breakout of yesterday's local extreme.

Investment idea: BUY 78800, SL 76600, TP 95000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1100, SL 1.1120, TP 1.1000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The price has indeed started to behave erratically, refusing to decline and instead beginning to rise. As a result, a zigzag pattern has formed, at least for now it looks like that.

Therefore, in the near future, there is another possibility of sellers attempting to push the rate down so much that it leads to a gradual increase in momentum and the development of a prolonged impulsive decline within the formation of wave iii.

However, there remains a probability of further aimless price wandering in an undefined (for now) price range.

For this reason, the signal for entering sell trades remains the break of the current price minimum.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1100, SL 1.1120, TP 1.1000.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 28500, SL 28150, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 02 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation for the NASDAQ100 index is currently developing within the framework of the adjusted wave scenario.

Wave 4 in the presumed final diagonal triangle appears to be expanding, which widens the boundaries of the indicated pattern.

It is quite possible that it will end soon. Then we will see a resumption of price growth, during which the final wave 5 of the final diagonal triangle will be formed.

It should also be noted that the final diagonal triangle is a signal of a trend reversal and a sharp decline. However, there is no need to rush to conclusions yet.

There is still one potential upward wave that can be attempted to ride.

Investment idea: BUY 28500, SL 28150, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 78300, SL 76250, TP 95000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 02 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

For Bitcoin, the situation looks very similar to price readiness to start rising.

The correction has fully formed its structure, taking the shape of a double zigzag.

Currently, we are observing an attempt at growth, which could lead to a sharp acceleration and a new local high previously established.

An attempt to break lower is also possible before the rise. However, this time such a development pattern will serve as another argument in favor of buying within the emerging upward impulse movement.

Thus, the overall situation favors buying, and you can already start opening corresponding positions.

Investment idea: BUY 78300, SL 76250, TP 95000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1100, SL 1.1120, TP 1.10000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 02 Nov 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The euro continues to remain under pressure but is not in a hurry to update its minimums.

This may happen within the next trading week.

In this case, we will see the development of wave iii of the downward impulse, which is part of a larger wave (3).

This indicates a protracted nature of the downward movement.

There is also a possibility that the price will move sideways, meaning we will see growth from current levels.

To avoid falling into this scenario with sell positions, it is recommended to sell on an update of the minimum established by the presumed wave i.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1100, SL 1.1120, TP 1.10000.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation has changed sharply for the index. A scenario that was playing out well suddenly decided to introduce adjustments in the form of another downward wave, which is likely part of wave 4.

Thus, the lower boundary of the assumed ending diagonal triangle has expanded again, and this may not be the limit.

In the near future, the price may go even lower, after which there will be an attempt at a reversal and the start of growth in the final wave 5 of the ending diagonal triangle.

Trading in this situation is hardly advisable. It is better to wait for the start of growth and try buying.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation is developing exactly in line with the scenario previously analyzed. As expected, the price made a weak attempt to rise but, failing to sustain the momentum, sharply fell downward.

This was facilitated by news of a hack on the major exchange Binance, but this event fits very well into the wave pattern under consideration.

Buyers will now begin working to recover the lost positions, which may take some time. In the meantime, repeated attempts at further declines are possible.

For this reason, it is not advisable to consider trading the current asset yet. It is better to wait until the storm caused by the hack subsides.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1100, SL 1.1125, TP 1.1000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The price is beginning to obscure the trend, creating multiple possible scenarios for development.

Although the scenario considered yesterday was indeed realized. The price did move down and formed a downward impulse; however, a new low for the anticipated wave (1) did not occur.

The price has risen, and in this scenario, this rise is corrective. To confirm this variant, an increase in selling activity is required, which will lead to a strong impulsive decline in wave iii.

It is recommended to sell in this situation upon a break of the minimum established by wave (1).

Investment idea: SELL 1.1100, SL 1.1125, TP 1.1000.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29500, SL 29250, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 29 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation for the NASDAQ100 index continues to develop according to the scenario previously considered. It is likely that wave 5 of a converging final diagonal triangle is currently forming.

At the moment, this wave is at the beginning of its development, so there remains a good opportunity to enter trades at promising levels.

Moreover, a small corrective structure may develop in the near future. You can buy at the bottom point of this movement.

Investment idea: BUY 29500, SL 29250, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 29 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation continues to follow the previously analyzed wave scenario.

The price rose slightly, but sellers immediately reacted by actively pushing the price down, which caused the rate to return to its starting point for this rise.

However, it is unlikely that this marks the beginning of the final wave c of (y) of the assumed double zigzag. Most likely, we will see one more weak attempt to rise, after which the expected longer decline will occur.

Thus, there is no need to rush into opening short positions at this time. It is better to spend today's trading day observing price behavior.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1140, SL 1.1160, TP 1.1080.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 29 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Sellers failed to immediately update the minimum. At the lowest point of the previous decline, the price encountered active buying, which led to a bounce.

An internal corrective movement most likely occurred, very similar to the fourth wave of a downward impulse on a lower time frame.

If this is indeed the case, we will soon see a resumption of the price decline and an update of the current local minimum.

Additionally, this impulse is considered part of wave (3) of a larger downward impulse.

Thus, it makes sense to consider opening sell positions at current market prices.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1140, SL 1.1160, TP 1.1080.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29800, SL 29550, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the NASDAQ100 index continues to develop steadily in accordance with the scenario previously analyzed.

It appears that the corrective wave of the ending diagonal triangle has been completed. This is indicated by the current upward movement, which is driven by the formation of the final wave 5 of the same wave pattern.

In this case, the price will continue to move higher in the near term, targeting the upper boundary of the converging ending diagonal triangle.

Thus, buying remains relevant and should be considered as a trading option.

Investment idea: BUY 29800, SL 29550, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 81400, SL 82100, TP 76500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation is developing exactly in line with the scenario previously analyzed. Currently, there is an attempt at recovery, which is most likely corrective in nature and driven by the development of wave b of (y).

In this case, the upward movement will be weak and will ultimately give way to a sharp reversal followed by a steep decline.

Thus, the completion of the entire complex corrective structure, which is a double zigzag, is expected.

Investment idea: SELL 81400, SL 82100, TP 76500.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1110, SL 1.1130, TP 1.1000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

It seems that the euro is facing problems. It failed to recover its position properly, and the rate has been slowly but steadily sliding downward.

Trading is currently taking place near the previously established minimum, which will obviously be breached.

In light of this, there is a need to revise the current wave pattern.

The updated scenario assumes the continuation of the downward impulse within wave (3). The earlier rally was likely corrective and took the form of a converging horizontal triangle.

Thus, it is advisable to reverse the decision from buying to selling.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1110, SL 1.1130, TP 1.1000.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29450, SL 29050, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 27 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

It is possible that the corrective wave 4 within a converging final diagonal triangle has completed its formation. At least, buyers are attempting to resume movement in their desired direction.

The wave pattern is fully consistent with such a buyer decision. The price may indeed begin to rise actively as part of the development of wave 5 of the indicated wave model.

Thus, one can consider the possibility of entering buy trades at current market values.

Investment idea: BUY 29450, SL 29050, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 81100, SL 82000, TP 77000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 27 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation continues to develop according to the previously analyzed plan.

At the moment, a correction is likely forming, which takes the form of a double zigzag. Within it, work is underway on the second part of this complex corrective structure. A slight increase is expected within the development of wave b of (y), after which the decline will resume.

For this reason, it is recommended to wait for the corrective rise in wave b, and then cautiously attempt to sell.

Investment idea: SELL 81100, SL 82000, TP 77000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1180, SL 1.1110, TP 1.1470.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 27 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

It appears that the correction has continued. At the moment, a scenario involving the formation of a double zigzag is being considered, which will be completed shortly.

Immediately after this, an impulsive rise is expected due to the start of wave iii development.

In this situation, consider the possibility of buying at current market prices. The cancellation of the considered wave scenario will occur if the price breaks through the critical level marked by the red horizontal line on the chart.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1180, SL 1.1110, TP 1.1470.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29000, SL 28800, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Overall, the situation for the NASDAQ100 index has not changed. The length of corrective wave 4 has slightly increased, which led to an expansion of the range of the expected final diagonal triangle.

In this case, we may soon see a resumption of growth, during which the final wave 5 of the indicated pattern will form.

Therefore, it is recommended to consider the possibility of buying at current market prices.

Investment idea: BUY 29000, SL 28800, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 81500, SL 81900, TP 76800.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin is unable to recover and resume an active directional upward movement. The price is steadily stagnating in a corrective phase, which appears to be a double zigzag.

Two waves are missing to complete the formation of the indicated pattern: one upward and one downward.

After this, the development of the next bullish phase is expected.

Given the current situation, it is recommended to consider a quick sell option after a slight corrective rise.

Investment idea: SELL 81500, SL 81900, TP 76800.

Wave analysis - EURUSD:BUY 1.1230, SL 1.1210, TP 1.1400.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the trading pair under consideration is developing according to the scenario previously analyzed. The decline, which formed in an impulsive manner, has completed the formation of a converging horizontal triangle at the location of wave iv and a short wave v.

Then the reverse movement began immediately. And now a correction is developing, which has already dragged on. It's time to make the next move.

Growth may occur very soon. Development of the third wave of the upward impulse is expected.

For this reason, it is worth considering the possibility of entering buy trades at current market values.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1230, SL 1.1210, TP 1.1400.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29850, SL 29600, TP 31400.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 16 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The NASDAQ100 index slightly revived after a sharp decline and reached the previously noted target, which was the lower boundary of the ending diagonal triangle.

Immediately after this, buyers began active actions to correct this situation. So far, they have only managed to halt the decline.

It is possible that we will soon see a resumption of growth, during which the final fifth wave of the ending diagonal triangle will form.

Based on these expectations, one can attempt to buy at current market prices.

Investment idea: BUY 29850, SL 29600, TP 31400.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 16 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin begins to get entangled in a correction that is gradually becoming more complex. It seems we are currently observing the development of wave c of (x) in a double zigzag.

If this is indeed the case, we will see a small increase in the near future.

Overall, the cryptocurrency situation is developing according to one scenario: growth in the morning, sharp decline in the evening. Perhaps we will see something similar today as well.

Trading this is not recommended, as the market remains quite nervous and could perform any unpredictable action at any moment.

In this situation, it is advisable to continue observing the development of events from the sidelines, patiently waiting for the completion of the double zigzag formation.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1225, SL 1.1200, TP 1.1320.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 16 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation for the trading pair under consideration is developing exactly in line with the previously analyzed scenario. The impulsive decline ended with a brief fifth wave.

This is due to the formation of a converging horizontal triangle, which is a correction in the fourth wave. Its appearance indicates an imminent reversal.

And so it happened; the price slightly updated its low and began to reverse and rise quickly, instantly recovering the decline in the fifth wave.

Now, it seems, we are expecting further growth, which may have an impulsive character.

Therefore, it is recommended to consider opening buy positions.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1225, SL 1.1200, TP 1.1320.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: SELL 30350, SL 30750, TP 30050.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 14 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the NASDAQ100 index is developing at an extremely calm and unhurried pace. No significantly important changes have occurred since the last trading day, so the scenario remains relevant.

Currently, a corrective wave of a terminal diagonal triangle is likely developing.

For its completion, a decline to the lower boundary line is necessary. Currently, the price is stuck somewhere halfway to this target.

Thus, sell trades in this regard remain the most promising for trading.

Investment idea: SELL 30350, SL 30750, TP 30050.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 83650, SL 83000, TP 85300.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 14 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The assumption that the previously formed correction in the form of a simple zigzag is unlikely to be sufficient for the impulse that formed earlier is still being confirmed.

The attempt to rise again encountered strong defense from sellers, but selling was also sharply halted as it began; ultimately, yesterday's slaughter ended in a draw.

At this moment, this looks like the formation of a zigzag within wave (x), in which the final wave c is developing.

If this is indeed the case, then after a slight increase, this part of the corrective structure will complete and the price will begin to decline again.

In this regard, one can try cautiously buying with a small target.

Investment idea: BUY 83650, SL 83000, TP 85300.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1180, SL 1.1210, TP 1.1110.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 14 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

For the EURUSD trading pair, a breakdown is occurring within a downward impulse. Previously, the formation of corrective wave iv likely completed; this wave represented a converging horizontal triangle, after which price resumed its decline but only slightly updated its minimum.

This decline appears excessively disproportionate relative to the entire prolonged impulsive move, so it is most likely that the observed rise is not a full reversal but rather a correction.

Therefore, we will likely see further continuation of the price decline.

On the other hand, fifth waves following horizontal triangles are often very short, in which case the current rise would represent the beginning of an upward movement.

In such a situation, it is recommended to act on buys when price rises above wave [d], and on sells when the level 1.1180 breaks down.

The downward scenario remains the priority for now.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1180, SL 1.1210, TP 1.1110.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 13 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the trading instrument under consideration continues to develop according to the previously outlined plan. The index value is gradually decreasing.

Thus, a corrective wave 4 is likely forming, which is expected to complete at the lower boundary of the assumed converging final diagonal triangle.

The potential for movement is small, but it is still advisable to keep earlier opened short positions active.

Opening new trades in any direction is not recommended at this time.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 82000, SL 81000, TP 84500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 13 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Earlier there were concerns that the Bitcoin correction had ended. Although a good zigzag had formed at that time, it turned out to be disproportionate to the previous impulsive rise. It lacked a bit of scale.

And now we see that the price has sharply returned to the lows of that very zigzag, thereby confirming the assumption about the complication of the corrective structure.

At the moment, the formation of a double zigzag is assumed, in which wave (x) is currently forming.

If this is indeed the case, then in the near future we will see another attempt to rise, which will also fail, but on this move you can try to make money.

For this, you can cautiously buy at current levels with a target near the local maximum.

Investment idea: BUY 82000, SL 81000, TP 84500.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1120, SL 1.1090, TP 1.1230.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 13 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The price began to realize the scenario with a closing descending horizontal triangle as wave iv right from the start of trading.

There was even enough time to exit the narrowing range, which indicates the development of the final wave of the downward impulse. After horizontal triangles, movements in the direction of the trend tend to be small, so there is a chance to see a reversal within the next trading day.

In connection with this, you can cautiously start buying slightly below current market levels.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1120, SL 1.1090, TP 1.1230.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: SELL 30755, SL 30900, TP 29900.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the considered trading asset continues to develop according to the plan.

The price has started to decline, apparently forming the beginning of a corrective wave 4, which is part of a converging final diagonal triangle.

On lower timeframes, the development of a diverging initial diagonal triangle related to wave 4 is visible. If this is indeed the case, it confirms the assumption of a price decline in the near future.

For this reason, it is recommended to consider opening sell trades with the target lying on the lower boundary of the assumed diagonal triangle.

Investment idea: SELL 30755, SL 30900, TP 29900.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

After a sharp sell-off wave, the price began to recover quickly. In doing so, a clearly visible zigzag pattern formed.

However, overall, this correction appears quite disproportionate to the impulsive move that occurred earlier.

For this reason, there are suspicions that this situation will not resolve itself easily.

There is a high probability that the correction will become more complex and extend in time.

For this reason, it is advisable to wait for a clearer picture before entering long positions.

In light of this, the scenario of a double zigzag formation is being considered, where the current rally is viewed as wave (x).

The potential for movement is limited, so opening any positions is not recommended at this time.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1220, SL 1.1235, TP 1.1100.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Last time, a hypothesis was considered regarding a temporary halt in the downward price movement. A development of corrective wave iv was expected.

Its general features are now becoming apparent. It looks very much like we are observing the development of a converging horizontal triangle. It is still missing one more weak attempt at growth toward the upper boundary, after which the price will go down again and update the minimum previously set by wave iii.

This will complete the development of the downward impulse and the price will rise.

Thus, the action plan for the near future looks as follows: after a slight increase, we open short positions with the aim of updating the local minimum, after which we reverse and start actively buying.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1220, SL 1.1235, TP 1.1100.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: SELL 30500, SL 30850, TP 29900.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Instead of continuing to rise, the index suddenly reversed and began to decline. In connection with this, there is an idea that the development of wave 3 in the final diagonal triangle is probably completed.

Then the observed decline is corrective and caused by the formation of the next wave 4. Since the movement is going in a gradually narrowing corridor, the potential for movement within the framework of the development of the specified wave is small, but still allows you to make a cautious deal.

Investment idea: SELL 30500, SL 30850, TP 29900.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 80800, SL 82300, TP 75000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

As expected, pressure on Bitcoin intensified, and the strength to at least hold onto previously achieved levels was spent on unsuccessful attempts to continue the upward trend.

As a result, the price began to fall, developing a corrective structure that currently resembles a zigzag pattern.

If this is indeed the case, we will soon see another wave of decline, which could be the final one in this model.

Previously opened short positions should be maintained, as there is reason to consider opening additional trades in the same direction.

Investment idea: SELL 80800, SL 82300, TP 75000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1230, SL 1.1210, TP 1.1300.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The euro, as expected, attempted to correct its position. However, the price dropped slightly before that, but failed to update the local minimum once again.

As a result, the expected rise was delayed in time. We are now observing an upward movement, which, as noted earlier, is part of corrective wave iv and represents a simple zigzag.

This means that after a slight update of the local maximum, the direction of movement will sharply change again, and the price will resume its downward movement, updating the minimum set by wave iii.

In this situation, it is recommended to buy cautiously with small targets.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1230, SL 1.1210, TP 1.1300.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 08 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Activity on the trading instrument under consideration is very low, so it is extremely difficult to notice any significant changes in the wave pattern. The chart is steadily shifting to the right, and that is all that can be noted with certainty.

For this reason, the previously considered wave scenario remains relevant. It is still expected that wave 3 will complete its development within the formation of a final diagonal triangle.

This may happen during today's trading session. After that, a reversal and the beginning of corrective decline within the development of wave 4 are expected.

However, for buying, the potential remains insignificant, and for selling, the time has not yet arrived, so it is recommended not to open any new trades for now.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 82500, SL 83400, TP 77500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 08 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Buyers, who had long tried to sustain their upward movement but failed several times to break through a certain barrier, have finally given up.

The price dropped sharply, and this time it is unlikely that a quick recovery should be expected.

It is likely that a correction in the form of a zigzag is forming now. It remains to complete the final wave, which will be an impulse.

In this case, yesterday's decline is only the beginning; the price will continue to fall and may drop to the minimum of wave (iv) of the previously formed correction within the upward impulse.

Thus, in this situation, it is worth considering opening sell positions at current market prices.

Investment idea: SELL 82500, SL 83400, TP 77500.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1205, SL 1.1175, TP 1.1300.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 08 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The past trading day partially confirmed the assumption that the rise at the beginning of this week was corrective. As expected, the rise was replaced by a decline, during which the price almost returned to its starting point.

Buyers are forced to start from scratch. The price is trying to rise again and, it seems, they will succeed again. This will give us a simple zigzag, which will become wave iv of the forming prolonged downward impulse.

In this situation, you can start buying again with the goal of updating the current local maximum.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1205, SL 1.1175, TP 1.1300.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the NASDAQ100 index remains unchanged. The price is slowly rising, moving closer to the target level in the form of the upper boundary of a converging final diagonal triangle.

You can already start fixing positions on purchases that were opened earlier, as the potential for movement has become very small.

After that, you need to be patient and wait for a sell signal. A decline is expected within the framework of the development of corrective wave 4.

Thus, after closing all trades, it is recommended to switch to waiting mode.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 84350, SL 86000, TP 80000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation remains tense. However, the price has not moved anywhere yet, preferring to compress within a converging triangle.

At some point, the spring will release and the price will be sharply thrown out. It is expected that the movement will be downward, as after the development of an upward impulse, we did not see a proper corrective pullback.

Thus, upon breaking the lower boundary of the triangle, it is recommended to consider entering sell trades.

Investment idea: SELL 84350, SL 86000, TP 80000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1235, SL 1.1215, TP 1.1310.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the trading pair under consideration is developing according to the scenario previously analyzed. Buyers have managed to find arguments in their favor and are using them effectively. This leads to an increase in the value of the euro.

However, this growth, based on the wave pattern, is corrective in nature and is driven by the development of wave iv, which has not yet been fully completed.

In this case, we will soon observe the continuation of its development. The assumed price movement trajectory is indicated on the provided chart.

Previously opened buy positions can be held, and additional buys can be made during pullbacks, as another upward correction wave has not yet formed.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1235, SL 1.1215, TP 1.1310.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 31150, SL 30900, TP 31700.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 06 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the index under consideration continues to develop according to the previously analyzed wave scenario. The value is cautiously rising, clearly targeting the upper boundary of the final diagonal triangle.

Not much remains to reach it, but this distance still needs to be covered. This will complete the development of wave 3 in the indicated wave model.

Then a corrective pullback to the lower boundary is expected.

Thus, as long as there is a small potential for growth, it is recommended to consider opening buy positions.

Investment idea: BUY 31150, SL 30900, TP 31700.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 85750, SL 86850, TP 80500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 06 Oct 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Since yesterday, the situation with Bitcoin has hardly changed at all. Buyers delighted their supporters by starting to rise sharply, but near the local maximum, the movement stopped abruptly and the price began to slide back.

All activity ended here. The price continues to remain within a narrowing range, very similar to a converging horizontal triangle, with an expected breakout downward.

This is due to the formation of a correction intended as a response to the earlier impulsive rally.

Thus, in this situation, cautious short trades can be considered at current market values.

Investment idea: SELL 85750, SL 86850, TP 80500.