Forex market Fresh Forecast for today

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 30800, SL 30400, TP 31600.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 24 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

No significantly important changes have occurred in the considered trading asset over the past trading session. Instead of forcing events and continuing its upward movement, a calm pullback has begun, which is likely corrective in nature and developing on smaller timeframes.

Overall, growth expectations remain, as do assumptions about the formation of a final diagonal triangle, in which wave 3 is currently forming.

Thus, we may soon see a resumption of upward movement toward the upper boundary of the pattern.

Investment idea: BUY 30800, SL 30400, TP 31600.

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Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 24 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

We did not see a continuation of the growth during the past trading day, although Bitcoin tried very hard. In the end, there was not enough strength for this final push and the price went in the opposite direction.

At the same time, the opportunity for another update of the local maximum, along with it, for the full completion of the development of the impulse in wave (v), is still preserved, as there has been no intersection with the first wave yet.

It is quite possible that buyers will attempt to make this move in the near future, so selling is not recommended for now.

In the current situation, it is worth watching how events will develop and acting when a clear picture appears.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1360, SL 1.1335, TP 1.1420.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 24 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The decline in the euro's exchange rate against the dollar continued. Ultimately, this led to wave imbalances within the forming impulse movement. For this reason, it became necessary to revise the chart markings.

The idea arose that the impulse as a whole may already be nearing completion, with only one more downward thrust remaining. Waves ii and iv are slightly out of alignment, but this does happen.

Thus, previously opened short positions should begin to be closed. Also, on the next update of the minimum, cautious long entries can be attempted.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1360, SL 1.1335, TP 1.1420.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 30800, SL 30550, TP 31550.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 23 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation continues to develop according to the updated plan. We have not yet reached the upper boundary of the expected final diagonal triangle.

Therefore, there is a high probability of continued growth in the near future. It is recommended to keep previously opened buy positions active. You can also consider buying more at current market prices. However, it is unlikely that you should expect prolonged growth; the movement potential is minimal, and this must be taken into account when trading.

Investment idea: BUY 30800, SL 30550, TP 31550.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 23 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation continues to develop according to the scenario previously considered. The price is rising and doing so in an impulsive manner. It looks very much like the final wave (v) is currently developing, within which a fifth impulse wave is also forming.

This suggests that a corrective decline may begin soon, so it is worth considering fixing the profits obtained from purchases.

However, entering short trades here and now is also dangerous. It is recommended to take a short break, observe the development of events from the sidelines for a while, and act if certain signals appear.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 23 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

As expected, the price continued to decline and updated the local minimum. The observed movement is likely due to the development of wave iii, forming a downward impulse.

Since the first wave within wave iii turned out to be the longest, the current decline is about to end and buyers will start making fierce attempts to correct the situation. In this regard, it is recommended to close previously opened short positions, fixing the profit obtained.

However, no signal has formed for buying yet, so there is no need to rush into entry at this time.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 30600, SL 30350, TP 31850.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The wave scenario for the NASDAQ100 index has been slightly adjusted. It was previously noted that we may currently be observing the development of a final diagonal triangle. However, it was unclear where its development could have started from.

It is possible that waves 1 and 2 of this pattern have already formed at this moment. The current upward movement is likely wave 3 and takes the form of a zigzag.

If this is indeed the case, we will see further growth, but the potential is already limited. Previously opened long positions can continue to be held, and cautious buying at current market prices can also be attempted.

Investment idea: BUY 30600, SL 30350, TP 31850.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 85200, SL 84000, TP 89000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation is developing in full accordance with the considered wave scenario. The price has risen confidently, forming the third wave within the forming wave (v). Currently, there is an attempt at a decline, which is most likely corrective in nature.

There is one more wave for growth, so previously opened long positions can be partially kept open, but it is better to close the majority of them, locking in profits.

Further on, the beginning of a correction formation is visible, but what will actually happen over time will become clear.

Investment idea: BUY 85200, SL 84000, TP 89000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1460, SL 1.1475, TP 1.1420.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Nothing interesting happened from the perspective of price movement in the considered trading pair during the past trading day.

The price continued its sluggish wandering within a range that has taken shape at the moment. False breakouts are possible in both directions in the future.

At the same time, the wave pattern remains unchanged so far. The correction we are currently observing is likely the fourth wave of a downward impulse, which is part of wave iii.

In this case, another sharp drop in price is possible in the future, after which a larger corrective structure will begin to form.

Therefore, a cautious sell-off option upon breaking out of the range can be considered.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1460, SL 1.1475, TP 1.1420.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29850, SL 29500, TP 31500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The NASDAQ100 index is once again beginning to revive and show some activity. Perhaps the correction in the form of a double zigzag in wave 2 has ended, and the price has set off to conquer the all-time high. It will become clear soon whether this will be realized.

You can try to join this movement and, if successful, achieve good profits.

It should also be noted that the growth could develop as a converging ending diagonal triangle. In that case, the price movement would proceed with a slowly decaying amplitude until a sharp reversal and rapid decline occur.

But that will come later; right now we are at the beginning of this pattern's development, meaning that buying remains the most promising trading strategy.

Investment idea: BUY 29850, SL 29500, TP 31500.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 81700, SL 79900, TP 90000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin is confirming the scenario previously considered. According to it, the development of a correction has completed, which is a simple zigzag and represents wave (iv) in an upward impulse.

Immediately after this, the price surged upwards to develop the final impulse wave. At present, the potential of this movement is not fully realized; Bitcoin still has room to grow, so the current situation remains favorable for buying.

For this reason, it is recommended to open trades in this direction at current market values.

Investment idea: BUY 81700, SL 79900, TP 90000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1455, SL 1.1470, TP 1.1420.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the considered trading pair continues to develop according to the previously analyzed scenario.

Under strong pressure, the euro sharply gave up its positions but is now trying to correct everything. It manages only to contain the dollar's attack, but this is likely a temporary measure. In the near future, there is a high probability of further decline.

This is due to the development of an extension in wave iii, for the completion of which a small bearish wave is lacking.

Then, the price will go into a prolonged correction, which will ultimately lead the price back down.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1455, SL 1.1470, TP 1.1420.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 17 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Nothing interesting is still happening with the asset in question. The index begins to get stuck in a correctional swamp, making rare attempts to get out of it, but all unsuccessfully.

Such a boring trading pattern can continue for quite a long time, so it is recommended to start closely monitoring the situation only after some directional movement.

And since the situation has not changed at all, the bullish scenario remains the main one. According to it, a correction in the form of a double zigzag is currently forming, which is wave 2 in an emerging upward impulse.

Then in the future we expect a slight corrective decline, after which the growth of the index will resume.

But as already mentioned earlier, it is recommended to start acting only after a directional movement, and until then it is better to observe the development of events from the sidelines.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 79500, SL 77300, TP 90000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 17 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin continues to remain under pressure from which it is trying to break out. This attempt is obviously the reason for the observed weak growth of the asset, and therefore, with a high degree of probability, it has a corrective nature.

In this case, further on, this growth will quickly be replaced by another sharp downward price movement, which will lead to the completion of the development of the assumed corrective wave (iv).

There is no need to rush to make any trading decisions in this situation. However, since the downside potential within the forming correction remains insignificant, it is recommended to start looking for possible entry points for buying.

At the moment, the most safe level for this decision is 79500.

Investment idea: BUY 79500, SL 77300, TP 90000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 17 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The scenario with a price decline has been confirmed. The price indeed plummeted, significantly exceeding the targets at which this decline was expected.

Perhaps such price movement is due to the development of an extension within wave iii. In that case, the price will continue to fall, then take a brief pause in the form of a corrective bounce, but then the decline will resume again until the impulse is finally formed.

But for entering short positions, it is better to wait for a correction and only open trades upon its completion; otherwise, there is a risk of immediately getting caught in this pullback after opening.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: SELL 28810, SL 29000, TP 28000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 16 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index continues to remain in a state of uncertainty but under strong bearish pressure. Most likely, the asset will not be able to cope with it and will start moving down, especially since the scenario being considered suggests this.

The decline is likely to be caused by the completion of the formation of a correction that represents a double zigzag.

A sharp downward move will put an end to the development of this wave structure.

Thus, the current situation looks interesting for entering sell trades.

Investment idea: SELL 28810, SL 29000, TP 28000.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 16 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Bitcoin situation continues to develop according to the previously considered trading plan. The asset is under strong pressure, forcing its price to continue a gradual retreat.

However, the observed decline is considered a correction, so there is no need to expect a prolonged price drop at this time.

Most likely, if any decline occurs in the near future, it will be insignificant. Wave (iv), which is currently expected to develop, will soon end and a rise will begin in the final fifth wave of the upward impulse.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1525, SL 1.1540, TP 1.1490.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 16 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The previous trading day was sparse in events for the asset in question. The price preferred not to make any sharp moves, remaining in a state of relative calm.

Meanwhile, it becomes noticeable how the price is approaching the lower part of the local minimum, which is often a sign of an impending breakout. This is quite expected, as it is assumed that the downward impulse will end on shorter timeframes, after which a corrective pullback will occur.

Thus, one can try to catch this downward move, immediately fixing the profit obtained.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1525, SL 1.1540, TP 1.1490.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 15 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The past trading day was very dull in terms of any movement. The price essentially stayed in place the entire time. Accordingly, we did not see the expected decline either.

Instead, the index once again started looking toward its historical maximum.

But there is currently no strength for the necessary acceleration, so all buyers can hope for is holding the value near this level, preventing their opponents from pushing the price lower.

Overall, the previously considered scenario remains relevant, but I would not recommend opening any positions now, as this dreary state may last for some time, and its exit may turn out to be quite different from what was expected.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: SELL 77400, SL 79000, TP 72500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 15 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation with the trading asset under consideration is developing exactly as per the considered scenario. The buyers made another attempt to climb higher and update the current local maximum, but failed.

The price, which had started rising briskly, also fell back just as quickly. And the initiative immediately passed into the hands of the bears.

It is expected that their pressure will intensify in the future and the price will go even lower. Thus, a well-identifiable simple zigzag correction will form.

After that, it will be possible to try growing again, forming the final impulse wave.

But that will be later; for now, it is recommended to consider opening sell trades at current market values.

Investment idea: SELL 77400, SL 79000, TP 72500.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1530, SL 1.1545, TP 1.1500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 15 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The Euro is expected to continue losing its positions. However, the downward movement is forming as an impulse, which lacks a final surge to complete it. It is possible that the anticipated wave iii is stretching in this case.

In the near future, the decline will continue, but immediately after updating the current local minimum, buying activity will intensify, leading to growth. For now, this growth is considered a correction.

Thus, one can attempt to profit first from the remaining decline, and then immediately reverse to buying.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1530, SL 1.1545, TP 1.1500.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: SELL 28950, SL 29100, TP 28300.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 14 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index continues to remain under pressure, failing to find the necessary arguments to resume its confident strengthening.

And this is a bad sign; the longer the price stays in place, the more it gets stuck in this complex corrective structure, from which it becomes increasingly difficult to escape.

Currently, the price position is viewed as part of a correction that takes the form of a double zigzag. A downward wave is expected in the near future to complete this entire pattern. After that, there may be another attempt to resume the upward directional movement.

Investment idea: SELL 28950, SL 29100, TP 28300.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 82200, SL 80000, TP 90000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 14 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The market confirms the assumption that the price of Bitcoin will continue to remain within a certain price range, forming a correction.

The attempt to rise was immediately thwarted, and the rate began to gradually decline, trying to find solid ground to push off from and rise well.

Thus, a corrective wave (iv) is likely forming, which will continue to develop in the near future.

The downside potential is small, and it is not yet time to buy, so there is no point in considering trade options for now.

The only possible signal is an update of the maximum established by wave (iii) to enter buy trades with the aim of capturing the movement in wave (v).

Investment idea: BUY 82200, SL 80000, TP 90000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1565, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1480.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 14 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation continues to develop according to the previously considered plan. The euro is under pressure and weakening. At times, the price accelerates too strongly, as if trying to form the missing waves in a single moment. However, the market does not like such haste and pushes the rate back, so that it can traverse this path again, but at a more relaxed pace.

The observed decline still appears to be an impulse wave in which wave iii is developing. If this is indeed the case, then previously opened short positions should be maintained. Additionally, upon a new low established by wave i, one may attempt to open new positions in the same direction.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1565, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1480.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: SELL 29000, SL 29150, TP 28200.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 11 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

It seems the NASDAQ100 index is having trouble continuing its upward movement. The anticipated scenario failed to play out. Instead, the value moved in the opposite direction.

And now the situation looks bearish. At least one more impulsive downward price move will occur.

And then the situation could change drastically. If the index value drops sharply well below current local levels, we will need to consider a major downward scenario.

For now, it is advisable to limit ourselves to cautious selling at current market prices with the goal of updating the local minimum from September 2, 2026.

Investment idea: SELL 29000, SL 29150, TP 28200.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 11 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin is under strong pressure. It failed to overcome the previously established local maximum, and the price has been sliding lower and lower.

This was expected, as the beginning of a correction wave (iv) of an upward impulse was anticipated.

The structure of this wave is not yet fully clear, so by default, the formation of a simple zigzag is assumed.

For this reason, the schematic expected price decline for the near term is depicted exactly like this.

In the future, the price will likely continue to move downward, but at some point it will attempt to rise.

Trading in this situation is not recommended.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1600, SL 1.1620, TP 1.1480.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 11 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The market has begun to confirm the scenario under consideration. The rise, as expected, turned out to be corrective and took the form of a zigzag, where wave b formed as a converging horizontal triangle.

Immediately after this, selling activity intensified, pushing the price down effectively. Buyers attempted to correct the situation, but selling pressure remains sufficiently high, and ultimately this struggle will lead to further declines.

A momentum development is expected, which will become the third wave in a larger impulse, or wave C in a zigzag pattern.

In light of this, sell trades appear to be a promising trading solution.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1600, SL 1.1620, TP 1.1480.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29750, SL 29350, TP 32000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 10 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The NASDAQ100 index has reached a certain price level and is not making any sharp moves yet.

At the same time, the situation continues to maintain a bullish sentiment. This is due to the likely development of wave 3, which appears to be preparing to extend.

At least, the first two extension waves have formed, and everything is frozen in anticipation of active growth.

It is difficult to say when this will happen or if it will happen at all. However, buying on an update of the local maximum is still recommended.

Investment idea: BUY 29750, SL 29350, TP 32000.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 10 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Likely, the extension in wave (iii) of the upward impulse has ended with a very short wave 5. This is indicated by an overly prolonged correction that does not fit within the time frame of the formed impulse inside wave (iii).

This means we are currently observing the development of corrective wave (iv), which will take some more time.

In this case, we will not see any directional movement in the near future; the price may start moving up and down erratically, each time returning to the middle of the corrective range.

For this reason, it is not recommended to make any trading decisions for now.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1630, SL 1.1650, TP 1.1480.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 10 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The corrective rally in the considered trading pair likely took the form of a zigzag, where wave b formed as a converging horizontal triangle.

The pattern is generally formed, and price has even attempted to decline, but it hasn't dropped significantly yet.

We will likely see a stronger downward move in the near future.

For this reason, it is recommended to consider opening sell positions at current market prices.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1630, SL 1.1650, TP 1.1480.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29700, SL 29550, TP 32000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 08 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

For the NASDAQ100 index, the beginning of the trading week turned out to be dull and uninteresting. The value spent the entire day in a very narrow price range, obviously forming a correction on shorter timeframes.

The result of this activity was an approach to the upper boundary of the correction with preparation for a decisive upward breakout.

Thus, in the near future we may see further growth driven by the formation of wave iii of an upward impulse, which will lead to the establishment of new all-time highs.

Investment idea: BUY 29700, SL 29550, TP 32000.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 80550, SL 78600, TP 86500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 08 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin has so far failed to continue its strengthening. The start of the trading week turned out to be difficult for it; there is pressure on the asset that it is not handling very well. As a result, we see the price dip slightly.

But this is not critical, the situation is within the bounds of a correction, so the previously considered scenario still remains relevant.

It is still assumed that the impulse, which is wave 5, will develop. For this, a decisive upward leap is necessary; it may happen in the near future, and at the update of the local maximum, one can enter buy trades.

Investment idea: BUY 80550, SL 78600, TP 86500.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1600, SL 1.1615, TP 1.1450.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 08 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The beginning of the trading week turned out to be uninteresting in terms of any significant directional movement. Buyers are confidently holding their ground against their eternal opponents, while successfully launching counterattacks.

The price is slowly rising and threatens to accelerate into an impulsive upward move rather than downward. In this regard, the current trading day could be key and clarify the situation.

However, the bearish scenario remains in effect and appears most likely.

The whole point is that a downward impulse is expected to develop, with waves i and ii already formed. We will soon find out whether the price can be pushed down to form the next wave.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1600, SL 1.1615, TP 1.1450.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29650, SL 29400, TP 32000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 07 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

No significantly important changes occurred in the considered trading asset during the past trading day.

The price continues to remain within the corrective range, making efforts for further growth.

It is still assumed that an upward impulse will develop, in which wave iii will form and extend.

In this regard, a fairly prolonged upward movement is expected, on which it is worth trying to ride along.

Investment idea: BUY 29650, SL 29400, TP 32000.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 80500, SL 79000, tp 86000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 07 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin maintains a bullish sentiment and continues its attempts to move higher, but no significant success has been observed so far.

Judging by the emerging pattern, wave 5 is currently forming, within which an impulse is beginning. This impulse already contains the first two waves, and a directional movement aimed at forming the third impulse wave is expected in the near future.

Thus, the current situation looks very promising for buying, and this opportunity should be considered to open buy trades.

Investment idea: BUY 80500, SL 79000, tp 86000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1585, SL 1.1600, TP 1.1450.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 07 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation continues to develop according to the scenario previously considered. It involves the formation of a downward impulse.

At the moment, there are waves i and wave ii, which represents a zigzag.

After the formation of a corrective wave, an attempt was made for a sharp decline, but buyers were not satisfied with this and managed to stop this movement.

However, overall the situation has retained its bearish character.

Thus, in the near future we may see a continuation of the price decline within the development of wave iii of the downward impulse.

In connection with this, it is worth considering the possibility of entering sell trades upon updating the local minimum.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1585, SL 1.1600, TP 1.1450.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29550, SL 29250, TP 32000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Buyers did not allow the price to fall further and managed to pick it up in time, after which they directed it in the right direction.

Now, the initial upward price bounce is becoming very similar to the formation of an extension in wave 3 of an upward impulse. Within this scenario, the first two waves 1 - 2 have formed, and now the index is rising, developing the next wave in sequence.

If this assumption is correct, then in the future the value will continue to confidently move higher and higher, easily overcoming the historical maximum and pushing it to new price levels.

For this reason, entering buy trades looks like a very promising trading decision.

Investment idea: BUY 29550, SL 29250, TP 32000.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 82300, SL 80500, TP 85000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin has begun the realization of the previously considered wave scenario. The price of the leading cryptocurrency has resumed its strengthening.

However, as soon as a local maximum was updated, the price encountered strong selling pressure and now there is an intense struggle for initiative.

If buyers are unable to overcome their opponents at this level, the price will begin to decline and the situation may become favorable for sales. Otherwise, after a brief corrective pause, the price will surge further upward and complete the extension of wave (iii), after which it will move into a corrective phase.

The second option currently appears to be the most likely, so upon updating the local maximum, it is recommended to look for buying opportunities.

Investment idea: BUY 82300, SL 80500, TP 85000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1620, SL 1.1640, TP 1.1500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Fri, 04 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The euro rose and this was expected. It was previously indicated that this scenario is the most likely. However, this is only the first part of the forecast. The second part assumes a reversal and an impulsive decline. Whether it will happen will become clear soon.

This scenario is due to the fact that the earlier decline was likely wave i of a downward impulse, and the subsequent rise yesterday took the form of a zigzag and became corrective wave ii.

Thus, the next logical move becomes an impulsive price drop within the development of wave iii.

In this situation, you can cautiously start selling at current market prices.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1620, SL 1.1640, TP 1.1500.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29200, SL 29000, TP 32000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 03 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index did not break below the previously formed local minimum. This may indicate that the price could soon start to realize a bullish scenario.

At the same time, an elongated third wave of the upward impulse will form.

This, in turn, will lead to the historical high being definitely updated, meaning buy targets can be set higher.

Now there is again a favorable moment for buying with a good ratio of potential profit to potential loss, so it is recommended to consider opening buy trades at current market prices.

Investment idea: BUY 29200, SL 29000, TP 32000.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 77800, SL 77000, TP 85000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 03 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation in the market under review has not changed over the past trading day. The price continued to consolidate, preparing for a breakout.

It is still assumed that this breakout will be upward and driven by the formation of wave 5 of (iii) of an upward impulse.

Extension within the third wave remains the primary scenario for now.

And if it materializes, we will soon see a significant rise in the value of Bitcoin against the dollar.

Therefore, entering long positions in this situation is a promising trading strategy.

Investment idea: BUY 77800, SL 77000, TP 85000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: BUY 1.1600, SL 1.1590, TP 1.1630.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Thu, 03 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

It seems that EUR is also not inclined to decline, at least for now. After a slight update of the local minimum, the price began to rise, but we do not see any strong moves yet. All this fuss on micro-levels has little impact on the overall picture.

Perhaps we are currently observing the formation of a correction, which is wave ii, in an emerging downward impulse.

If this is indeed the case, then in the near future the price will rise a bit more, completing the indicated corrective wave, after which an impulsive decline will begin.

This small rise can be attempted to capture, but very cautiously.

Investment idea: BUY 1.1600, SL 1.1590, TP 1.1630.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: FLAT.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 02 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index is starting to get sucked into a corrective swamp. The good opportunity for a sharp impulsive rally that arose was not utilized, and instead, a pullback movement occurred.

Overall, the situation continues to maintain a bullish bias. The upcoming trading week may clarify matters in this regard. If buyers find the strength to approach the historical high, a breakout and a strong upward impulsive move are possible.

However, if they fail, the price may enter a prolonged horizontal correction, making rare rallies but invariably returning to previous levels.

For this reason, it is not recommended to make any trading decisions at this time.

It is advisable to observe how the price behaves and, once the situation becomes clearer, decide whether to buy or sell.

Investment idea: FLAT.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 77500, SL 76500, TP 85000.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 02 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

There are difficulties with the resumption of growth. Each attempt to make a breakthrough is quickly stopped, but there is no pressure to push the price lower either.

As a result, the rate has recently remained in a suspended state at a certain level.

Thus, the development of a correction continues, which is likely wave 4 of an upward impulse.

If this assumption is correct, expectations for growth within the framework of an upward impulse remain.

From the lower boundary of the correction range, it is recommended to consider buying.

Investment idea: BUY 77500, SL 76500, TP 85000.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1570, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Wed, 02 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The situation continues to develop according to the updated scenario. After a sharp decline, buyers attempted to correct the situation, but the bounce was insignificant and ultimately enthusiasm was not enough to even hold the level, causing the rate to return to the starting point of the bounce.

It is possible that this corrective bounce is the second wave of an emerging downward impulse. In that case, the price may now sharply drop lower, forming the third wave.

Upon updating the local minimum, consider the possibility of entering sell trades.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1570, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1500.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29760, SL 29350, TP 30750.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 01 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index is starting to act up again and in obvious moments does exactly the opposite of what is expected.

For example, right now, after the development of impulsive growth and a clearly visible corrective decline in the form of a zigzag, the price seemingly went up again, but instead of making the necessary sharp move, it reversed and started moving down.

NASDAQ likes to twist like this; perhaps this time we will also see the value reverse and move up towards the previously indicated levels. Otherwise, the corrective structure may become significantly more complex.

In this situation, it is advisable to continue considering buys for now, but only upon updating the current local maximum that formed after the observed decline.

Investment idea: BUY 29760, SL 29350, TP 30750.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 79300, SL 77300, TP 85500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 01 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

Bitcoin did not move up to realize the previously considered scenario, deciding to take a short break. This led to a pullback decline into the nearest corrective range.

From here, an unsuccessful attempt was made to bounce and resume upward movement. Now, the price may stay here for some time, periodically making sharp moves up or down. However, we cannot rule out the possibility of growth without all these cat-and-mouse games.

It is assumed that wave 4 of the upward impulse is currently forming or has already completed.

Thus, further impulsive growth will be driven by the development of wave 5 of (iii), meaning that buying in this situation looks quite promising.

Investment idea: BUY 79300, SL 77300, TP 85500.

Wave analysis - EURUSD: SELL 1.1575, SL 1.1600, TP 1.1500.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Tue, 01 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The euro considered the current rise sufficient and simply stopped showing activity for further growth. The dollar immediately took advantage of this and sharply pressured its opponent, leading to a significant decline in the trading pair under consideration.

It seems that the corrective rise in the form of a zigzag has ended. The fourth and fifth waves of impulse, which are part of wave c of (y), turned out to be small and formed quickly, and the subsequent smooth decline eventually evolved into an impulsive decline.

Now, the price will likely continue to strive for further decline, but not immediately, rather through a small corrective bounce. Overall, a prolonged impulsive decline is expected, so it is recommended to revise your views from bullish to bearish.

Investment idea: SELL 1.1575, SL 1.1600, TP 1.1500.

Wave analysis - #NQ100: BUY 29670, SL 29350, TP 30750.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 31 Aug 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The index has begun to rise slowly but with sufficient confidence. This currently confirms the considered wave scenario, according to which the development of a third upward impulse wave is expected.

This scenario implies an update of the previous all-time high, but whether it will happen will become clear over time.

For now, it is recommended to continue holding previously opened buy positions.

There is also reason for those who did not manage to do so earlier to buy.

The nearest target for the expected move is the all-time high marked on the chart by a red horizontal line.

Investment idea: BUY 29670, SL 29350, TP 30750.

Wave analysis - BTCUSD: BUY 80650, SL 79200, TP 83300.

info@freshforex.com (Vasily Lukin) — Mon, 31 Aug 2026 14:00:00 +0200

The overall Bitcoin situation maintains a positive outlook. The price is trying hard to continue its upward movement, but it has not yet updated the local maximum established by wave 3.

This may happen within the next day, which means that open long positions are recommended to be kept active.

It is also worth noting that after updating the local maximum, the price will most likely start to retrace. This is due to the development of corrective wave 4.

Therefore, it is important to closely monitor the development of events and respond in a timely manner to what is happening.

Investment idea: BUY 80650, SL 79200, TP 83300.